Class Logistics and Structure
1:15:51The Bermuda Triangle of Valuation
1:17:16Valuation Approaches (Continued) and First Steps on Intrinsic Value
1:17:50The DCF Big Picture and First Steps on Risk-Free Rates
1:17:38Finishing up Riskfree Rates and Moving on to Risk Premiums
1:17:02Implied Equity Risk Premiums
1:18:22Betas, Relative Risk and First Steps on Cost of Debt
1:17:16Cost of Capital Closure + First Steps on Cash Flows
1:19:56Tax Rates, Cap Ex and Working Capital
1:18:35FCFE Closure and First Steps on Growth
1:49:10Closure on Growth and First Steps on Terminal Value
1:33:01The Terminal Value
44:54Loose Ends in Valuation
1:20:42Last Loose Ends + First Steps on Storytelling
1:17:17More Storytelling and First Company Valuations
1:16:58Valuing the market and companies across the life cycle
1:17:09Valuing Declining, Emerging Market and Financial Service companies
1:34:58Intrinsic Value Closure and Pricing Beginnings
1:27:59Pricing Continued
1:17:10Tariff Talk
46:44Pricing Analytics and Peer Groups
1:16:15Pricing Closure and Asset-based Valuation/Pricing
1:17:37Valuation Approaches (Continued) and First Steps on Intrinsic Value
This session continues the discussion on valuation approaches, touching upon pricing and real options, then delves into intrinsic value, emphasizing the importance of consistency in discounted cash flow valuation regarding equity vs. firm cash flows.
We started class by completing the discussion of approaches to valuation, talking about pricing and real options, at least in a big picture sense. We then began our intrinsic value discussion by talking about the weapons of mass distraction. If you want to read the blog post I have on the topic, try this link:
We then spent some time setting up the process of discounted cash flow valuation, arguing for consistency in discounting. If the cash flows that you are discounting are cash flows to equity, estimated either as dividends or as potential dividends, the discount rate should be the cost of equity. If the cash flows that you are discounting are pre-debt cash flows, i.e,, cash flows to the firm, the discount rate has to be the cost of capital. Done right, the value of equity should be equivalent with both approaches. We also introduced “The IT propositon’ arguing that for it (control, synergy, AI or ESG) to affect value, it has to affect either the cash flows or the discount rate.
Start of the class test: https://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/eqnotes/tests/kennecott.pdf
Slides: https://nyu.box.com/s/7p11ugta057amfnko6er4uaehmimi7x9
The Bermuda Triangle of Valuation
Next · Lecture 4The DCF Big Picture and First Steps on Risk-Free Rates
