Triage Score: A Counterfactual Risk Assessment Instrument
39:56LLM-Guided Reinforcement Learning for Mastery Learning: Large-Scale Field Evidence
35:06Non-parametric Causal Inference in Dynamic Thresholding Designs
30:21Agreement and Alignment for Human-AI Collaborative Decision Making
45:21Human Values in Clinical Algorithms, Old and New
38:46When Prediction Becomes Policy: What Do Risk Models Actually Learn?
33:31Evaluating Probabilistic Decision Making by LLMs: A Decision-Theoretic Framework and Application
32:16Algorithmic UDAP
32:13Operational Dosage: The Impact of Capacity Constraints on RCT Evaluation
35:01The Role of Standardized Tests in Admissions: Predictions vs. Decisions
33:37Individual Gaps in Prediction Generalization
30:41Beyond Prediction Performance: How Modeling Decisions Shape Fairness Outcomes in Statistical Profiling
27:56The Feedback Loop of Statistical Discrimination
32:03Decision Theoretic Foundations for Human-AI Collaboration
31:01Evaluation Design
29:16Recommendation in Equilibrium for the NYC High School Match
32:51Automating the US Welfare State: Historical Experiments in Technological Federalism
35:41On Machine Learning for Prediction and Prioritization in the Allocation of Scarce Societal Resources
35:26Triage Score: A Counterfactual Risk Assessment Instrument
This lecture introduces "triage scores" as a counterfactual risk assessment instrument, addressing how intervention affects outcomes in high-stakes decision-making beyond mere prediction.
Kosuke Imai (Harvard University) Bridging Prediction and Intervention Problems in Social Systems
